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《中國稀土市場一周報告》2021年第18期

2021/5/19 9:23:43?????點擊:

掛牌價

表1:中國南方稀土2021年中重稀土氧化物掛牌價(萬元/噸)

數據來源:南方稀土

表2:中國北方稀土高科技術股份有限公司2021年掛牌價(元/噸)

數據來源:北方稀土

稀土市場評述

本周稀土市場主流產品整體報貨不多,氧化物整體價格偏弱運行,鐠釹氧化物報出較少,分離廠挺價意愿不高,貿易商低價報貨為主;中重稀土鏑鋱釓鈥價格持續弱穩震蕩,金屬報價對應調整但成交不多,磁材對鎖少量采購觀望為主。

This week, there are not many mainstream products in the rare earth market, the overall price of oxides is weak, and there are fewer reports of praseodymium and neodymium oxide. The separation plant is not willing to bid for the price, and traders mainly submit low prices; medium and heavy rare earth dysprosium The price of terbium, gadolinium and holmium continued to fluctuate weakly and steadily. Metal quotations were adjusted accordingly, but there were not many transactions. Magnetic materials mainly wait and see for small purchases of locks.

市場報價

數據來源:我的有色

市場成交

數據來源:我的有色

市場分析

輕稀土

本周輕稀土市場鐠釹價格整體偏弱延續,上游分離廠家報價較猶豫,低價出貨意愿較低,貿易商少量低價貨源變現成交,氧化物價格隨市下行,金屬廠詢盤尚可,尋低少量試探性采購,金屬報價對應氧化物下調,磁材詢盤問價較活躍,實際成交仍未及預期。截至本周五,氧化鐠釹主要報50.8-51.0萬元/噸,主要成交50.5-50.8萬元/噸,50.5萬元/噸及以上成交承壓,金屬廠采購較猶豫觀望為主,市場成交較少。鐠釹金屬方面,金屬大廠報價較少,月結大廠主要報價63.0-63.5萬元/噸,主要成交區間62.5-63.0萬元/噸,63.0萬元/噸及以上成交承壓,現款現貨主要報62.8-63.0萬元/噸,主要成交62.0萬元/噸左右,磁材仍降庫觀望為主,少量對鎖。綜合來看:目前上游分離廠主動報價意愿不高,貿易商低價少量出貨為主,金屬廠金屬價格持續倒掛,整體成交偏難,磁材當前補庫意愿較低,上下游僵持依舊,市場逐步向買方過渡,預計鐠釹價格弱穩震蕩延續。

The price of praseodymium and neodymium in the light rare earth market continued to be weak this week. The upstream separation manufacturers were more hesitant to offer prices, and the willingness to ship at low prices was low. Traders realized transactions with a small amount of low-priced sources. The price of oxides declined with the market. Inquiries from metal factories are still acceptable. , Looking for a small amount of tentative purchases, metal quotations are lowered corresponding to oxides, magnetic material inquiry prices are more active, and the actual transaction is still not as expected. As of this Friday, praseodymium oxide and neodymium oxide were mainly reported at 508,000-510 thousand yuan/ton, the main transaction was 505,000-508,000 yuan/ton, and the transaction of 505,000 yuan/ton and above was under pressure. Metal factories were more hesitant to wait and see, and market transactions less. Regarding praseodymium and neodymium metals, major metal manufacturers offer fewer prices. The monthly prices of major manufacturers are 630-63.5 million yuan/ton, and the main transaction range is 625-63.0 million yuan/ton. The transactions of 63 million yuan/ton and above are under pressure, and cash is on spot. Mainly reported at 62.8-63.0 million yuan/ton, and the main transaction was about 62 million yuan/ton. Magnetic materials are still down the warehouse and wait and see, with a small amount of locks. On the whole: At present, upstream separation plants are not willing to take the initiative to offer prices, traders mainly sell small quantities at low prices, metal prices continue to fall in metal plants, the overall transaction is difficult, the current willingness of magnetic materials to replenish inventory is low, and the upstream and downstream stalemate remains. The market is gradually transitioning to buyers, and the price of NdPr is expected to continue to fluctuate weakly and steadily.

圖1:2021.4.14-5.14氧化鐠釹均價走勢圖

數據來源:我的有色

圖2:2021.4.14-5.14鐠釹金屬均價走勢圖

數據來源:我的有色

重稀土

本周中重稀土主要產品市場整體報價弱穩震蕩,分離廠家報價減少先觀望,貿易商少量貨源低價變現,金屬廠剛需采購,鏑鐵、鋱等金屬產品報價隨氧化物下探以促進成交,下游磁材詢盤活躍度偏淡,成交量未及預期。截至本周五,氧化鏑成交區間240-242萬元/噸,237-240萬元/噸個別成交,金屬廠采購意愿不高;鏑鐵報價較少,金屬廠 報價主流238-242萬元/噸,235-240萬元/噸個別成交;氧化鋱貿易商報貨居多,部分分離企業暫無報價,650萬元/噸及以內貿易商少量變現,分離廠家報價堅挺660-680萬元/噸,集團持謹慎觀望態度,金屬企業金屬鋱主動報價較少,報價區間860-880萬元/噸,磁材詢低剛需采購成交承壓,850萬元/噸個別成交;氧化釓市場詢盤增加,18.8-19.0萬元/噸少量成交,金屬廠18.8萬元/噸及以內詢低為主,釓鐵一次現款對應18.8萬元/噸個別成交;氧化鈥詢盤活躍度較低,分離廠報貨堅挺,中間商少量貨源變現,現款成交區間70.0萬元/噸左右,個別70萬以上成交,金屬企業鈥鐵報價較少,冶煉企業爐臺減停,現貨一次現款對應報71.0萬元/噸左右?,F階段中重稀土仍是以消費定走勢為主,消費方面暫無利好支撐,主要產品將弱穩延續。

In this week, the overall quotation of the main products of heavy rare earths in the market was weak and stable. Separate manufacturers’ quotations decreased and wait and see. Traders realized a small amount of supply at low prices. Metal factories just needed to purchase. The quotations of metal products such as dysprosium and terbium dropped along with oxides to promote transactions. Inquiry activity for magnetic materials was weak, and the transaction volume fell short of expectations. As of this Friday, the transaction range of dysprosium oxide was 2.4-242 million yuan/ton, and individual transactions were 2.37-2.4 million yuan/ton. The willingness of metal factories to purchase is not high; dysprosium iron offers less, and metal factories offer mainstream 2.38-2.42 million yuan/ Tons, 2.35-2.4 million yuan/ton were sold individually; most of the terbium oxide traders reported goods, and some separation companies had no quotations temporarily. Traders within 6.5 million yuan/ton or less realized a small amount of cash, and the separation manufacturers’ quotations were firm 6.6-6.8 million yuan/ton. , The group is cautious and wait-and-see attitude, metal companies actively offer less metal terbium, the quotation range is 8.6-8.8 million yuan/ton, magnetic material inquiries are low and just need to purchase transactions under pressure, 8.5 million yuan/ton individual transactions; gadolinium oxide market inquiries increase , A small number of transactions of 188,000 to 199,000 yuan/ton, the metal factory’s 188,000 yuan/ton and lower inquiries were the main ones, the one-time cash of gadolinium iron corresponds to an individual transaction of 188,000 yuan/ton; the holmium oxide inquiries were less active, and the separation plant reported The goods were strong, and the intermediary realized a small amount of goods. The cash transaction range was about 700,000 yuan/ton, and some transactions were more than 700,000 yuan. The holmium iron quotation of metal enterprises was less, and the smelting enterprise reduced the number of furnaces. The spot cash was quoted at about 700,000 yuan/ton. . At this stage, medium and heavy rare earths are still dominated by consumption trends, and there is no positive support for consumption for the time being, and the main products will continue to be weak and stable.

圖3:2021.4.14-5.14氧化鏑均價走勢圖


數據來源:我的有色

圖4:2021.4.14-5.14鏑鐵合金均價走勢圖

數據來源:我的有色


圖5:2021.4.14-5.14氧化鋱均價走勢圖

數據來源:我的有色

圖6:2021.4.14-5.14金屬鋱均價走勢圖

數據來源:我的有色

市場總結

輕稀土鐠釹氧化物廠家現貨市場主動報價意愿較低,貿易商少量貨源低價報出為主,隨著氧化物價格持續弱穩震蕩趨勢,金屬價格對應下調成交倒掛,同時氧化物報出不多,金屬廠逢低對鎖采購,磁材剛需降庫為主,上下游僵持依舊,金屬成交價格未及預期,市場整體詢盤成交偏淡,待下游庫存進一步消耗,采購節奏變換,鐠釹價格或將由弱穩震蕩趨勢走穩;中重稀土上游廠家報價猶豫,出貨意愿不高,持貨商少量貨源讓利成交,預計鏑鋱釓鈥價格或將延續弱穩震蕩。

My non-ferrous network believes that light rare earth Pr and Nd oxide manufacturers are less willing to actively quote in the spot market, and traders mainly report low prices from a small amount of supply. As the price of oxides continues to weakly and steadily fluctuate, the price of metal is corresponding to the downward adjustment and the transaction is upside down. At the same time, there are not many reports of oxides. Metal factories purchase locks on dips. Magnetic materials just need to lower their warehouses. The upstream and downstream stalemate remains. The metal transaction prices are not as expected. The overall market inquiries and transactions are weak. Waiting for the downstream inventory to be further consumed. Purchasing rhythm changes, and the price of praseodymium and neodymium may stabilize from a weak and stable trend; the upstream manufacturers of China and heavy rare earths are hesitant to offer, and the willingness to ship is not high. 

來源:我的有色網(Mysteel

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